tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Providence via Detroit: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:36 MSP → 20:22 DTW
    DL 1435 · Delta · 1h 46m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 DTW → 23:20 PVD
    DL 3795 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 44mMSP 17:36 to PVD 23:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.