tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Appleton via Detroit: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:36 MSP → 20:22 DTW
    DL 1435 · Delta · 1h 46m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:09 DTW → 21:40 ATW
    DL 4159 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 04mMSP 17:36 to ATW 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.