tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:10 RIC → 16:51 ATL
    DL 1437 · Delta · 1h 48m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 ATL → 20:27 LGA
    DL 434 · Delta · 2h 27m · 64% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 17mRIC 15:10 to LGA 20:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.