tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:04 SRQ → 08:45 ATL
    DL 1445 · Delta · 1h 43m · 94% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 ATL → 13:20 ORD
    AA 1363 · American · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 16mSRQ 07:04 to ORD 13:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.