tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:04 SRQ → 08:45 ATL
    DL 1445 · Delta · 1h 43m · 94% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:06 ATL → 14:29 LGA
    AA 4606 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 77% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 27mSRQ 07:04 to LGA 14:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.