tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New York via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 84%

  1. 19:20 PHX → 21:59 SLC
    DL 1451 · Delta · 1h 39m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SLC → 06:23 JFK +1 day
    DL 705 · Delta · 4h 24m · 89% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 03mPHX 19:20 to JFK 06:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.