tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Houston via Detroit: arrives on time 55%

  1. 17:29 DCA → 19:15 DTW
    DL 1454 · Delta · 1h 45m · 64% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 DTW → 22:24 IAH
    DL 1633 · Delta · 2h 59m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 55mDCA 17:29 to IAH 22:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.