tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Salt Lake City via Detroit: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:29 DCA → 19:15 DTW
    DL 1454 · Delta · 1h 45m · 64% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 DTW → 22:13 SLC
    DL 2117 · Delta · 3h 58m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 44mDCA 17:29 to SLC 22:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.