tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Cleveland via Detroit: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:29 DCA → 19:15 DTW
    DL 1454 · Delta · 1h 45m · 64% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 DTW → 21:17 CLE
    DL 4071 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 02m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 48mDCA 17:29 to CLE 21:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.