tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Raleigh/Durham via Washington: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:59 DTW → 16:34 DCA
    DL 1454 · Delta · 1h 35m · 51% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:47 DCA → 19:21 RDU
    DL 5322 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 34m · 63% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 22mDTW 14:59 to RDU 19:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.