tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Salt Lake City via Washington: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:59 DTW → 16:34 DCA
    DL 1454 · Delta · 1h 35m · 51% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 DCA → 20:37 SLC
    DL 820 · Delta · 4h 47m · 76% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 38mDTW 14:59 to SLC 20:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.