tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Knoxville via Detroit: arrives on time 66%

  1. 12:32 MCO → 15:20 DTW
    DL 1455 · Delta · 2h 48m · 79% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 4h 39m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DTW → 21:41 TYS
    DL 5138 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 42m · 68% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 234 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 39m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip9h 09mMCO 12:32 to TYS 21:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.