tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:45 RIC → 07:20 ATL
    DL 1460 · Delta · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:26 ATL → 10:02 MSP
    DL 2960 · Delta · 2h 36m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 17mRIC 05:45 to MSP 10:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.