tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:45 RIC → 07:20 ATL
    DL 1460 · Delta · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 ATL → 10:43 LGA
    DL 513 · Delta · 2h 13m · 88% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 58mRIC 05:45 to LGA 10:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.