tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Norfolk via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:04 MSP → 08:47 DTW
    DL 1461 · Delta · 1h 43m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 DTW → 11:57 ORF
    DL 4654 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 79% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 53mMSP 06:04 to ORF 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.