tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:04 MSP → 08:47 DTW
    DL 1461 · Delta · 1h 43m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:59 JFK
    DL 2751 · Delta · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 55mMSP 06:04 to JFK 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.