tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Honolulu via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:04 MSP → 08:47 DTW
    DL 1461 · Delta · 1h 43m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 DTW → 14:01 HNL
    DL 307 · Delta · 9h 31m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 12h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 5 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip12h 57mMSP 06:04 to HNL 14:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.