tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Francisco via Detroit: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:04 MSP → 08:47 DTW
    DL 1461 · Delta · 1h 43m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:16 SFO
    DL 469 · Delta · 5h 01m · 70% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip10h 12mMSP 06:04 to SFO 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.