tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 16:00 DTW → 18:04 ATL
    DL 1467 · Delta · 2h 04m · 77% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 ATL → 20:48 DCA
    DL 325 · Delta · 1h 53m · 60% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 48mDTW 16:00 to DCA 20:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.