tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 52%

  1. 13:38 MIA → 16:49 DTW
    DL 1468 · Delta · 3h 11m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:07 DTW → 18:25 MDW
    DL 4677 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 22m · 60% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 51mMIA 13:38 to MDW 18:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.