tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Cleveland via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:38 MIA → 16:49 DTW
    DL 1468 · Delta · 3h 11m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:42 DTW → 18:46 CLE
    DL 4954 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 04m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 08mMIA 13:38 to CLE 18:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.