tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Indianapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:38 MIA → 16:49 DTW
    DL 1468 · Delta · 3h 11m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:42 DTW → 19:00 IND
    DL 5034 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 22mMIA 13:38 to IND 19:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.