tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Memphis via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 13:38 MIA → 16:49 DTW
    DL 1468 · Delta · 3h 11m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DTW → 21:04 MEM
    DL 1230 · Delta · 1h 59m · 79% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 26mMIA 13:38 to MEM 21:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.