tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Seattle via Detroit: arrives on time 62%

  1. 13:38 MIA → 16:49 DTW
    DL 1468 · Delta · 3h 11m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:34 DTW → 22:34 SEA
    DL 565 · Delta · 5h 00m · 64% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip11h 56mMIA 13:38 to SEA 22:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.