tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Louisville via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 13:38 MIA → 16:49 DTW
    DL 1468 · Delta · 3h 11m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DTW → 21:15 SDF
    DL 5832 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 79% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 56m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 37mMIA 13:38 to SDF 21:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.