tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 52%

  1. 14:28 EYW → 16:36 ATL
    DL 1472 · Delta · 2h 07m · 84% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 ATL → 20:54 EWR
    DL 2498 · Delta · 2h 20m · 56% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 27mEYW 14:28 to EWR 20:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.