tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:28 EYW → 16:36 ATL
    DL 1472 · Delta · 2h 07m · 84% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 ATL → 20:48 DCA
    DL 325 · Delta · 1h 53m · 60% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 20mEYW 14:28 to DCA 20:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.