tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:28 EYW → 16:36 ATL
    DL 1472 · Delta · 2h 07m · 84% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:07 ATL → 22:20 DCA
    AA 5560 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 13m · 52% on time, 18.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (18.4% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 52mEYW 14:28 to DCA 22:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.