tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via Detroit: arrives on time 60%

  1. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DTW → 22:35 TPA
    DL 1355 · Delta · 2h 40m · 77% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 24mMSP 16:15 to TPA 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.