tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Traverse City via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:51 DTW → 22:42 TVC
    DL 2424 · Delta · 1h 07m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 43mMSP 16:15 to TVC 22:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.