tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Raleigh/Durham via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:28 RDU
    DL 2839 · Delta · 1h 48m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 13mMSP 16:15 to RDU 23:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.