tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Norfolk via Detroit: arrives on time 62%

  1. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:29 ORF
    DL 412 · Delta · 1h 49m · 64% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 14mMSP 16:15 to ORF 23:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.