tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Buffalo via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 DTW → 23:58 BUF
    DL 978 · Delta · 1h 09m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 186 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 44mMSP 16:15 to BUF 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.