tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Omaha via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DTW → 20:55 OMA
    DL 3715 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 10m · 71% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 40mMSP 16:15 to OMA 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.