tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:22 ORD → 18:36 ATL
    DL 1477 · Delta · 2h 13m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:39 ATL → 20:50 ELP
    DL 1713 · Delta · 3h 13m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 30mORD 15:22 to ELP 20:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.