tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hebron via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 15:22 ORD → 18:36 ATL
    DL 1477 · Delta · 2h 13m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:32 ATL → 21:01 CVG
    DL 2248 · Delta · 1h 29m · 76% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 39mORD 15:22 to CVG 21:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.