tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dayton via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 15:22 ORD → 18:36 ATL
    DL 1477 · Delta · 2h 13m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 ATL → 23:51 DAY
    DL 3167 · Delta · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 32mORD 15:22 to DAY 23:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.