tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Reno via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 15:22 ORD → 18:36 ATL
    DL 1477 · Delta · 2h 13m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ATL → 21:44 RNO
    DL 391 · Delta · 4h 47m · 72% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 22mORD 15:22 to RNO 21:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.