tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Appleton via Detroit: arrives on time 49%

  1. 18:11 ATL → 20:14 DTW
    DL 1478 · Delta · 2h 02m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:09 DTW → 21:40 ATW
    DL 4159 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 29mATL 18:11 to ATW 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.