tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 15:40 JFK → 18:24 ATL
    DL 1480 · Delta · 2h 44m · 76% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 ATL → 23:00 JAX
    DL 1001 · Delta · 1h 15m · 69% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 20mJFK 15:40 to JAX 23:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.