tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 15:40 JFK → 18:24 ATL
    DL 1480 · Delta · 2h 44m · 76% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:21 ATL → 21:34 IAH
    DL 1284 · Delta · 2h 13m · 73% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 54mJFK 15:40 to IAH 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.