tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Portland via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 15:40 JFK → 18:24 ATL
    DL 1480 · Delta · 2h 44m · 76% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 ATL → 23:05 PWM
    DL 2138 · Delta · 2h 40m · 69% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 25mJFK 15:40 to PWM 23:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.