tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 15:40 JFK → 18:24 ATL
    DL 1480 · Delta · 2h 44m · 76% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:46 ATL → 23:57 ROC
    DL 2472 · Delta · 2h 11m · 75% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 17mJFK 15:40 to ROC 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.