tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 15:40 JFK → 18:24 ATL
    DL 1480 · Delta · 2h 44m · 76% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 ATL → 20:45 LAX
    DL 763 · Delta · 4h 34m · 68% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 14mJFK 15:40 to LAX 20:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.