tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 13:02 SDF → 14:32 ATL
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 30m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 43m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 ATL → 21:03 IAD
    DL 1309 · Delta · 1h 49m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 238 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 43m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 02mSDF 13:02 to IAD 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.