tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 13:02 SDF → 14:32 ATL
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 30m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 ATL → 18:37 PHL
    DL 1329 · Delta · 2h 07m · 62% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 35mSDF 13:02 to PHL 18:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.