tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 13:02 SDF → 14:32 ATL
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 30m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:22 ATL → 19:54 TPA
    DL 1457 · Delta · 1h 34m · 69% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 54mSDF 13:02 to TPA 19:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.