tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 13:02 SDF → 14:32 ATL
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 30m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ATL → 19:20 LGA
    DL 997 · Delta · 2h 20m · 68% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 18mSDF 13:02 to LGA 19:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.