tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 88%

  1. 07:20 TPA → 08:56 ATL
    DL 1486 · Delta · 1h 36m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 ATL → 11:11 BHM
    DL 1017 · Delta · 56m · 91% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 51mTPA 07:20 to BHM 11:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.