tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Cedar Rapids via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 07:45 DCA → 09:27 MSP
    DL 1493 · Delta · 2h 42m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:16 MSP → 11:26 CID
    DL 4899 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 10m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 41mDCA 07:45 to CID 11:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.